Selected outcome
Wilson, 22+ pts
wide spread <1–11%
Wilson, 22+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Wilson, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 87¢
- Wilson, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Wilson, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Wilson, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$47 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Wilson, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5.4¢ · Ask 17¢
- Wilson, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 2nd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Wilson, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 2nd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
last
Ask 8.2¢
- Wilson, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$42 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Wilson, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 2nd District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.