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South Carolina Senate margin of victory

Open

On November 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Graham, 5+ pts

44%

Graham, 5+ pts · 44%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Graham, 5+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?

    44%

    Open · ~$1,483 24h · ~$23k vol

    Bid 43¢ · Ask 45¢

    Open full market view →
  • Graham, 3+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?

    65%

    Open · ~$388 24h · ~$10k vol

    Bid 64¢ · Ask 65¢

    Open full market view →
  • Graham, 9+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 9 percentage points?

    18%

    Open · ~$11 24h · ~$2,105 vol

    Bid 17¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
  • Graham, 7+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 7 percentage points?

    29%

    Open · ~$7 24h · ~$6,098 vol

    Bid 28¢ · Ask 30¢

    Open full market view →
  • Graham, 15+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 15 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$5 24h · ~$37 vol

    Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 6.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Graham, 17+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 17 percentage points?

    3%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$20 vol

    Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 4.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Graham, 1+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?

    77%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6,363 vol

    Bid 74¢ · Ask 80¢

    Open full market view →
  • Graham, 11+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 11 percentage points?

    10%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,036 vol

    Bid 8.3¢ · Ask 12¢

    Open full market view →
  • Graham, 13+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 13 percentage points?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$643 vol

    Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 8.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Graham, 19+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 19 percentage points?

    2%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$1,894
Volume
~$49k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
99k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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