Selected outcome
Jackley, 31+ pts
wide spread <1–12%
Jackley, 31+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Jackley, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Dakota House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.4¢
- Jackley, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Dakota House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Jackley, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Dakota House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Jackley, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Dakota House election be at least 19 percentage points?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$165 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 58¢
- Jackley, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Dakota House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Jackley, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Dakota House election be at least 25 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Jackley, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Dakota House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.8¢ · Ask 18¢
- Jackley, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Dakota House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
wide spread <1–12%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 12¢
- Jackley, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Dakota House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Dakota by 31 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.