Selected outcome
Rhoden, 12+ pts
wide spread 80–90%
Rhoden, 12+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Rhoden, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Dakota be at least 15 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$144 24h · ~$360 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Rhoden, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Dakota be at least 6 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 98.5¢
- Rhoden, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Dakota be at least 9 percentage points?
89%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 93.5¢
- Rhoden, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Dakota be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$842 vol
wide spread 80–90%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 90.1¢
- Rhoden, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Dakota be at least 18 percentage points?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$141 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
- Rhoden, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Dakota be at least 21 percentage points?
43%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
wide spread 39–51%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢
- Rhoden, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Dakota be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$102 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Rhoden, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Dakota be at least 27 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$154 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Rhoden, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Dakota be at least 30 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 14¢
- Rhoden, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Dakota be at least 33 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Rhoden, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Dakota be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7.7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in South Dakota by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.