Selected outcome
Rounds, 23+ pts
wide spread 2–13%
Rounds, 23+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Rounds, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 3 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 88¢
- Rounds, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 5 percentage points?
79%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 74¢ · Ask 84¢
- Rounds, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 7 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$74 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- Rounds, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 9 percentage points?
64%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$533 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Rounds, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 11 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$282 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Rounds, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$88 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
- Rounds, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 15 percentage points?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,126 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Rounds, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$244 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Rounds, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 19 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Rounds, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.9¢ · Ask 17¢
- Rounds, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$220 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 13¢
- Rounds, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 25 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$128 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Rounds, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 27 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$59 vol
last
Ask 8.5¢
- Rounds, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 29 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 7.3¢
- Rounds, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 31 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$195 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 6.7¢
- Rounds, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 33 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 6.3¢
- Rounds, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.