Selected outcome
Harshbarger, 43+ pts
wide spread 70–82%
Harshbarger, 43+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Harshbarger, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 1st District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93.2¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Harshbarger, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 1st District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.6¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Harshbarger, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 1st District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.4¢
- Harshbarger, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 1st District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.1¢
- Harshbarger, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 1st District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$97 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Harshbarger, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 1st District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$126 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
- Harshbarger, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 1st District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 36–48%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢
- Harshbarger, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 1st District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Harshbarger, 55+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 1st District House election be at least 55 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 18¢
- Harshbarger, 58+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 1st District House election be at least 58 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Harshbarger, 61+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 1st District House election be at least 61 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 7.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Tennessee's 1st District by 43 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.