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Tennessee's 3rd District margin of victory

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Tennessee's 3rd District

Selected outcome

Fleischmann, 34+ pts

wide spread 21–33%

Fleischmann, 34+ pts

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Fleischmann, 19+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol

    wide spread 88–99%

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 98.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Fleischmann, 22+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$109 vol

    wide spread 80–91%

    Bid 80¢ · Ask 90.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Fleischmann, 25+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?

    73%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol

    wide spread 68–80%

    Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢

    Open full market view →
  • Fleischmann, 28+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 3rd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 53–65%

    Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢

    Open full market view →
  • Fleischmann, 31+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 3rd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 36–48%

    Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢

    Open full market view →
  • Fleischmann, 34+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 3rd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 21–33%

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢

    Open full market view →
  • Fleischmann, 37+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 3rd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 9–21%

    Bid 9.2¢ · Ask 21¢

    Open full market view →
  • Fleischmann, 40+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 3rd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?

    13%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol

    wide spread 1–13%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Fleischmann, 43+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 3rd District House election be at least 43 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 8.6¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$158
Liquidity
—
Open int.
454 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Tennessee's 3rd District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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