Selected outcome
Molder, 1+ pts
wide spread 2–12%
10%
Molder, 1+ pts · 10%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Molder, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$561 vol
wide spread 2–12%
Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 12¢
- Molder, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$66 vol
last
Ask 9.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Tennessee's 5th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.