Selected outcome
Blackburn, 12+ pts
wide spread 53–65%
62%
Blackburn, 12+ pts · 62%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Blackburn, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 12 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$156 24h · ~$197 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
- Blackburn, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 3 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 95¢
- Blackburn, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 6 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$176 vol
wide spread 83–95%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 95¢
- Blackburn, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 15 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$395 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
- Blackburn, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 23–35%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢
- Blackburn, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.9¢ · Ask 21¢
- Blackburn, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 13¢
- Blackburn, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 27 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 8.7¢
- Blackburn, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 30 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 6.8¢
- Blackburn, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 33 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
last
Ask 6.1¢
- Blackburn, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 9 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Tennessee by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.