Selected outcome
Hagerty, 26+ pts
wide spread 30–42%
34%
Hagerty, 26+ pts · 34%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hagerty, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 16 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$651 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 89¢
- Hagerty, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 30 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- Hagerty, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 10 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$192 vol
Bid 90.6¢ · Ask 97.7¢
- Hagerty, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 12 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 97.7¢
- Hagerty, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 14 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$785 vol
Bid 84¢ · Ask 92.9¢
- Hagerty, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 4 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92.1¢ · Ask 97.6¢
- Hagerty, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 6 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92.1¢ · Ask 98.1¢
- Hagerty, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 8 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$355 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 98.1¢
- Hagerty, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$271 vol
wide spread 73–84%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 84¢
- Hagerty, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 20 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$764 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- Hagerty, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 22 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$303 vol
Bid 54¢ · Ask 62¢
- Hagerty, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 24 percentage points?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$549 vol
wide spread 43–55%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 55¢
- Hagerty, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 26 percentage points?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Hagerty, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 28 percentage points?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$139 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Hagerty, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 15¢
- Hagerty, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 34 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Hagerty, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Tennessee by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.