Selected outcome
Moran, 53+ pts
wide spread 6–17%
Moran, 53+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Moran, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.8¢
- Moran, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 1st District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99.5¢
- Moran, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 1st District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.1¢
- Moran, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 1st District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Moran, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 1st District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Moran, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 1st District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- Moran, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 1st District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Moran, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 1st District House election be at least 50 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$232 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Moran, 53+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 1st District House election be at least 53 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.7¢ · Ask 17¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 1st District by 53 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.