Selected outcome
Mealer, 10+ pts
wide spread 33–45%
35%
Mealer, 10+ pts · 35%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Mealer, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 9th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$182 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Mealer, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 9th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- Mealer, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 9th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Mealer, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 9th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.6¢ · Ask 21¢
- Mealer, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 9th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 14¢
- Mealer, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 9th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$227 vol
wide spread 62–73%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 73¢
- Mealer, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 9th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 47–59%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 59¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 9th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.