Selected outcome
Pfluger, 18+ pts
wide spread 71–83%
Pfluger, 18+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Pfluger, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 11th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93¢
- Pfluger, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 11th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Pfluger, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 11th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
- Pfluger, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 11th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 43–55%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 55¢
- Pfluger, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 11th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
38%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Pfluger, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 11th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Pfluger, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 11th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$61 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5.3¢ · Ask 17¢
- Pfluger, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 11th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Pfluger, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 11th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 7.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 11th District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.