Selected outcome
Goldman, 25+ pts
wide spread 9–20%
Goldman, 25+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Goldman, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 12th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$69 24h · ~$73 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
- Goldman, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 12th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.3¢ · Ask 97.7¢
- Goldman, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 12th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 97.5¢
- Goldman, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 12th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$113 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Goldman, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 12th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 61¢ · Ask 63¢
- Goldman, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 12th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$107 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 52¢
- Goldman, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 12th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 28¢
- Goldman, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 12th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.9¢ · Ask 20¢
- Goldman, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 12th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 13¢
- Goldman, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 12th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 8.9¢
- Goldman, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 12th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 92.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 12th District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.