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Texas's 15th District margin of victory

Open

Texas's 15th District

Selected outcome

Cruz, 4+ pts

12%

Cruz, 4+ pts · 12%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Cruz, 4+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?

    12%

    Open · ~$20 24h · ~$133 vol

    Bid 9.8¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cruz, 1+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?

    14%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$337 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cruz, 10+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cruz, 13+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cruz, 7+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.6¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$20
Volume
~$604
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,477 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 15th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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