Selected outcome
Escobar, 30+ pts
wide spread 49–61%
Escobar, 30+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Escobar, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99¢
- Escobar, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- Escobar, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
- Escobar, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Escobar, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Escobar, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Escobar, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Escobar, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Escobar, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$41 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 16th District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.