Selected outcome
Menefee, 55+ pts
wide spread 84–94%
Menefee, 55+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Menefee, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.6¢
- Menefee, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–>99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99.8¢
- Menefee, 55+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House election be at least 55 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$162 vol
wide spread 84–94%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 94.3¢
- Menefee, 58+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- Menefee, 61+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House election be at least 61 percentage points?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$252 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
- Menefee, 64+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House election be at least 64 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Menefee, 67+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House election be at least 67 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Menefee, 70+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House election be at least 70 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Menefee, 73+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House election be at least 73 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5.1¢ · Ask 17¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 18th District by 55 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.