Selected outcome
Castro, 39+ pts
wide spread 56–68%
60%
Castro, 39+ pts · 60%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Castro, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.2¢
- Castro, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.1¢
- Castro, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$160 vol
wide spread 73–84%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 84¢
- Castro, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Castro, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$126 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Castro, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Castro, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Castro, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Castro, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 18¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 20th District by 39 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.