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Texas's 23rd District margin of victory

Open

Texas's 23rd District

Selected outcome

Herrera, 17+ pts

6%

Herrera, 17+ pts · 6%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Herrera, 2+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?

    68%

    Open · ~$187 24h · ~$1,070 vol

    Bid 64¢ · Ask 72¢

    Open full market view →
  • Herrera, 5+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?

    49%

    Open · ~$154 24h · ~$2,800 vol

    Bid 48¢ · Ask 50¢

    Open full market view →
  • Herrera, 8+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?

    35%

    Open · ~$67 24h · ~$1,408 vol

    Bid 33¢ · Ask 37¢

    Open full market view →
  • Herrera, 17+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?

    6%

    Open · ~$43 24h · ~$866 vol

    Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Herrera, 1+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?

    72%

    Open · ~$25 24h · ~$1,418 vol

    Bid 69¢ · Ask 74¢

    Open full market view →
  • Herrera, 14+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$541 vol

    wide spread 9–20%

    Bid 8.6¢ · Ask 20¢

    Open full market view →
  • Herrera, 11+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?

    26%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$450 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 31¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$477
Volume
~$8,553
Liquidity
—
Open int.
14k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 23rd District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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