Selected outcome
Cloud, 12+ pts
wide spread 49–61%
58%
Cloud, 12+ pts · 58%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Cloud, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 27th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Cloud, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 27th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Cloud, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 27th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Cloud, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 27th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Cloud, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 27th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Cloud, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 27th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 15¢
- Cloud, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 27th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 87¢
- Cloud, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 27th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 68–79%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 79¢
- Cloud, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 27th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 27th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.