Selected outcome
Garcia, 44+ pts
wide spread 52–64%
56%
Garcia, 44+ pts · 56%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Garcia, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 29th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- Garcia, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 29th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.3¢
- Garcia, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 29th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Garcia, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 29th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Garcia, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 29th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
wide spread 52–64%
Bid 52¢ · Ask 64¢
- Garcia, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 29th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- Garcia, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 29th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Garcia, 53+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 29th District House election be at least 53 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Garcia, 56+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 29th District House election be at least 56 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.7¢ · Ask 17¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 29th District by 44 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.