Selected outcome
Haynes, 40+ pts
wide spread 87–98%
92%
Haynes, 40+ pts · 92%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Haynes, 67+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 67 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.6¢ · Ask 18¢
- Haynes, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$209 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.4¢
- Haynes, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.9¢
- Haynes, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- Haynes, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$42 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Haynes, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$126 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Haynes, 55+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 55 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Haynes, 58+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
- Haynes, 61+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 61 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Haynes, 64+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 64 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$101 vol
wide spread 16–27%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 27¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 30th District by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.