Selected outcome
Carter, 23+ pts
wide spread 1–12%
Carter, 23+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Carter, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 8–20%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 20¢
- Carter, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.2¢
- Carter, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Carter, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Carter, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- Carter, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 12¢
- Carter, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
last
Ask 8.7¢
- Carter, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.9¢
- Carter, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Carter, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$148 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 31st District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.