Selected outcome
Yarbrough, 21+ pts
wide spread 5–16%
8%
Yarbrough, 21+ pts · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Yarbrough, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 42¢
- Yarbrough, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 28¢
- Yarbrough, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 23¢
- Yarbrough, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 4.6¢ · Ask 16¢
- Yarbrough, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Yarbrough, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$58 vol
Bid 60¢ · Ask 64¢
- Yarbrough, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$171 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 52¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 32nd District by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.