Selected outcome
Allred, 30+ pts
96%
Allred, 30+ pts · 96%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Allred, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 33rd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol
Bid 92.9¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Allred, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 33rd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.1¢ · Ask 99.2¢
- Allred, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 33rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$156 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 97.7¢
- Allred, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 33rd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
wide spread 82–92%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 92.2¢
- Allred, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 33rd District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$116 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Allred, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 33rd District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
- Allred, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 33rd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 36–48%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢
- Allred, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 33rd District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Allred, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 33rd District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 18¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 33rd District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.