Selected outcome
Cruz, 4+ pts
wide spread 14–26%
15%
Cruz, 4+ pts · 15%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Cruz, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,042 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Cruz, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Cruz, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.2¢
- Cruz, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$108 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Cruz, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 4.6¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 35th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.