Selected outcome
Casar, 70+ pts
wide spread 17–28%
20%
Casar, 70+ pts · 20%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Casar, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 37th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 99.6¢
- Casar, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 37th District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–93%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.6¢
- Casar, 55+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 37th District House election be at least 55 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$410 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Casar, 58+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 37th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Casar, 61+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 37th District House election be at least 61 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$116 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
- Casar, 64+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 37th District House election be at least 64 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Casar, 67+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 37th District House election be at least 67 percentage points?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$37 vol
wide spread 31–42%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 42¢
- Casar, 70+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 37th District House election be at least 70 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
wide spread 17–28%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 28¢
- Casar, 73+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 37th District House election be at least 73 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.7¢ · Ask 17¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 37th District by 70 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.