Selected outcome
Abbott, 15+ pts
5%
Abbott, 15+ pts · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Abbott, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?
59%
Open · ~$4,959 24h · ~$30k vol
Bid 58¢ · Ask 59¢
- Abbott, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 5 percentage points?
40%
Open · ~$2,066 24h · ~$2,221 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 41¢
- Abbott, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$1,567 24h · ~$6,034 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 69¢
- Abbott, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 6 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$1,378 24h · ~$17k vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 37¢
- Abbott, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 9 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$258 24h · ~$3,641 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 19¢
- Abbott, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 12 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$365 vol
Bid 5.7¢ · Ask 8.6¢
- Abbott, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 15 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 9.8¢
- Abbott, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 18 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
last
Ask 7.9¢
- Abbott, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 21 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
last
Ask 6.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.