Selected outcome
James Talarico, 4+ pts
29%
James Talarico, 4+ pts · 29%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- James Talarico, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$9,576 24h · ~$100k vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 37¢
- James Talarico, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 2 percentage points?
51%
Open · ~$4,610 24h · ~$38k vol
Bid 50¢ · Ask 51¢
- James Talarico, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$3,685 24h · ~$82k vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 58¢
- James Talarico, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 5 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$1,986 24h · ~$28k vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
- James Talarico, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 7 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$1,694 24h · ~$18k vol
Bid 6.3¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- James Talarico, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 4 percentage points?
29%
Open · ~$1,639 24h · ~$5,492 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 30¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.