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Texas Senate margin of victory

Open

On November 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Ken Paxton, 7+ pts

9%

Ken Paxton, 7+ pts · 9%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in Texas (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Ken Paxton, 5+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 5 percentage points?

    15%

    Open · ~$4,803 24h · ~$32k vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • Ken Paxton, 7+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 7 percentage points?

    9%

    Open · ~$3,510 24h · ~$11k vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 9.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Ken Paxton, 3+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?

    21%

    Open · ~$3,382 24h · ~$62k vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 21¢

    Open full market view →
  • Ken Paxton, 1+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?

    34%

    Open · ~$3,124 24h · ~$64k vol

    Bid 33¢ · Ask 34¢

    Open full market view →
  • Ken Paxton, 9+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 9 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$187 24h · ~$1,728 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Ken Paxton, 11+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 11 percentage points?

    2%

    Open · ~$20 24h · ~$446 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 3.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Ken Paxton, 13+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 13 percentage points?

    2%

    Open · ~$10 24h · ~$702 vol

    Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 3.7¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$15k
Volume
~$171k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
597k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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