Selected outcome
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
21%
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts · 21%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Ken Paxton, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 5 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$4,803 24h · ~$32k vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢
- Ken Paxton, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 7 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$3,510 24h · ~$11k vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$3,382 24h · ~$62k vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 21¢
- Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?
34%
Open · ~$3,124 24h · ~$64k vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 34¢
- Ken Paxton, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 9 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$187 24h · ~$1,728 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
- Ken Paxton, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 11 percentage points?
2%
Open · ~$20 24h · ~$446 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3.7¢
- Ken Paxton, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 13 percentage points?
2%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$702 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 3.7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.