Selected outcome
McAdams, 26+ pts
wide spread 76–87%
81%
McAdams, 26+ pts · 81%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- McAdams, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Utah's 1st District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7.2¢ · Ask 19¢
- McAdams, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Utah's 1st District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93.1¢
- McAdams, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Utah's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.8¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- McAdams, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Utah's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$368 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 99.3¢
- McAdams, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Utah's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$84 vol
wide spread 86–96%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 96.2¢
- McAdams, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Utah's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$507 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- McAdams, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Utah's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- McAdams, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Utah's 1st District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- McAdams, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Utah's 1st District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- McAdams, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Utah's 1st District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Utah's 1st District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.