Selected outcome
Kennedy, 22+ pts
wide spread 56–68%
Kennedy, 22+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Kennedy, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 18¢
- Kennedy, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 88¢
- Kennedy, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Kennedy, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Kennedy, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Kennedy, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 47–59%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 59¢
- Kennedy, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
- Kennedy, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$31 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Kennedy, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Kennedy, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Utah's 4th District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.