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Virginia's 1st District margin of victory

Open

Virginia's 1st District

Selected outcome

Wittman, 5+ pts

wide spread 7–18%

17%

Wittman, 5+ pts · 17%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Wittman, 8+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Wittman, 2+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?

    31%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$186 vol

    wide spread 19–31%

    Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢

    Open full market view →
  • Wittman, 5+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?

    17%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$150 vol

    wide spread 7–18%

    Bid 6.9¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$336
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,213 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 1st District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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