Selected outcome
Scott, 41+ pts
wide spread 71–83%
Scott, 41+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Scott, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 50 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- Scott, 53+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 53 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Scott, 56+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 56 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 13¢
- Scott, 59+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 59 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.1¢
- Scott, 62+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 62 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.4¢
- Scott, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- Scott, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 93.8¢ · Ask 99.8¢
- Scott, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92.6¢ · Ask 99.7¢
- Scott, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 99.5¢
- Scott, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,741 vol
wide spread 84–96%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.5¢
- Scott, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$296 vol
wide spread 81–91%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 91.3¢
- Scott, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$424 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Scott, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$130 vol
wide spread 59–70%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 70¢
- Scott, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
Bid 51¢ · Ask 53¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 3rd District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.