Selected outcome
McClellan, 27+ pts
last
93%
McClellan, 27+ pts · 93%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- McClellan, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- McClellan, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
- McClellan, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- McClellan, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- McClellan, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 14¢
- McClellan, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.8¢
- McClellan, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- McClellan, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol
last
Bid 94¢
- McClellan, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$37 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 98.5¢
- McClellan, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$515 vol
Bid 93.9¢
- McClellan, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
last
Bid 93.4¢
- McClellan, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
last
Bid 92.3¢
- McClellan, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,324 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 99.8¢
- McClellan, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,808 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96.2¢
- McClellan, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,935 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 86¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 4th District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.