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Virginia's 5th District margin of victory

Open

Virginia's 5th District

Selected outcome

McGuire, 3+ pts

wide spread 48–60%

50%

McGuire, 3+ pts · 50%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

McGuire, 3+ pts

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Markets

  • McGuire, 3+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?

    50%

    Open · ~$28 24h · ~$678 vol

    wide spread 48–60%

    Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$28
Volume
~$678
Liquidity
—
Open int.
956 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 5th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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