Selected outcome
Vindman, 23+ pts
wide spread 16–28%
Vindman, 23+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Vindman, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 7th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$524 vol
wide spread 62–73%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 73¢
- Vindman, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 7th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$115 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Vindman, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 7th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
wide spread 43–55%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 55¢
- Vindman, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 7th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$175 vol
wide spread 24–35%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 35¢
- Vindman, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 7th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Vindman, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 7th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.7¢ · Ask 20¢
- Vindman, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 7th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 13¢
- Vindman, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 7th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$447 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96.1¢
- Vindman, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 7th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$152 vol
wide spread 77–89%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 89¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 7th District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.