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Virginia's 9th District margin of victory

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Virginia's 9th District

Selected outcome

Griffith, 54+ pts

last

5%

Griffith, 54+ pts · 5%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Griffith, 21+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 98.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Griffith, 24+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 86–98%

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Griffith, 27+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?

    83%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 78¢ · Ask 88¢

    Open full market view →
  • Griffith, 30+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$258 vol

    wide spread 67–79%

    Bid 67¢ · Ask 79¢

    Open full market view →
  • Griffith, 33+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 52–64%

    Bid 52¢ · Ask 64¢

    Open full market view →
  • Griffith, 36+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol

    wide spread 36–48%

    Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢

    Open full market view →
  • Griffith, 39+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?

    23%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$47 vol

    wide spread 22–34%

    Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢

    Open full market view →
  • Griffith, 42+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?

    17%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$124 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 22¢

    Open full market view →
  • Griffith, 45+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?

    13%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$318 vol

    wide spread 4–15%

    Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Griffith, 48+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$104 vol

    Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Griffith, 51+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol

    Ask 7.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Griffith, 54+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol

    last

    Ask 6.4¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$924
Liquidity
—
Open int.
3,195 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 9th District by 54 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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