Selected outcome
Subramanyam, 16+ pts
wide spread 71–83%
79%
Subramanyam, 16+ pts · 79%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Subramanyam, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 10th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
Bid 87¢ · Ask 96.6¢
- Subramanyam, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 10th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 82–92%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 92.2¢
- Subramanyam, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 10th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$719 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Subramanyam, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 10th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$214 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
- Subramanyam, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 10th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Subramanyam, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 10th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$106 vol
wide spread 30–41%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 41¢
- Subramanyam, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 10th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Subramanyam, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 10th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.9¢ · Ask 18¢
- Subramanyam, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 10th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–12%
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 10th District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.