Selected outcome
Balint, 26+ pts
Balint, 26+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Balint, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Vermont House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.3¢
- Balint, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Vermont House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99.4¢
- Balint, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Vermont House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
wide spread 80–91%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.1¢
- Balint, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Vermont House election be at least 35 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 66–78%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 78¢
- Balint, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Vermont House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$126 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Balint, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Vermont House election be at least 41 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Balint, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Vermont House election be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Balint, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Vermont House election be at least 47 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.6¢ · Ask 15¢
- Balint, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Vermont House election be at least 50 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
last
Ask 9.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Vermont by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.