Selected outcome
Larsen, 35+ pts
wide spread 36–48%
Larsen, 35+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Larsen, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.3¢
- Larsen, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 2nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$164 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Larsen, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 2nd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Larsen, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 2nd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Larsen, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 2nd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 36–48%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢
- Larsen, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 2nd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 24–36%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢
- Larsen, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 2nd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Larsen, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 2nd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Larsen, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 2nd District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Washington's 2nd District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.