Selected outcome
Smith, 36+ pts
95%
Smith, 36+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Smith, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 9th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Smith, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 9th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Smith, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 9th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$160 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96.4¢
- Smith, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 9th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- Smith, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 9th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Smith, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 9th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Smith, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 9th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Smith, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 9th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Smith, 60+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 9th District House election be at least 60 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 16¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Washington's 9th District by 36 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.