Selected outcome
Berman, 4+ pts
wide spread 19–31%
Berman, 4+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Berman, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$171 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- Berman, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$126 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Berman, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.6¢ · Ask 20¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 1st District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.