Selected outcome
Cooke, 7+ pts
wide spread 24–36%
32%
Cooke, 7+ pts · 32%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Cooke, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$23 24h · ~$25 vol
wide spread 24–36%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢
- Cooke, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$19 24h · ~$291 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Cooke, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$17 24h · ~$57 vol
wide spread 10–20%
Bid 9.6¢ · Ask 20¢
- Cooke, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
wide spread 62–73%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 73¢
- Cooke, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 14¢
- Cooke, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 9.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.