Selected outcome
Orden, 1+ pts
wide spread 14–25%
Orden, 1+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Orden, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
last
Ask 9¢
- Orden, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
- Orden, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.9¢ · Ask 21¢
- Orden, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.