Selected outcome
Moore, 61+ pts
wide spread 27–39%
Moore, 61+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Moore, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 4th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93.3¢
- Moore, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 4th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.7¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Moore, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 4th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 89–>99%
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99.7¢
- Moore, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 4th District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
wide spread 80–92%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.7¢
- Moore, 55+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 4th District House election be at least 55 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$124 vol
wide spread 66–78%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 78¢
- Moore, 58+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 4th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 47–59%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 59¢
- Moore, 61+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 4th District House election be at least 61 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- Moore, 64+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 4th District House election be at least 64 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- Moore, 67+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 4th District House election be at least 67 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 4th District by 61 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.