Selected outcome
Fitzgerald, 15+ pts
wide spread 67–78%
76%
Fitzgerald, 15+ pts · 76%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Fitzgerald, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 88¢
- Fitzgerald, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 67–78%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 78¢
- Fitzgerald, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 53–64%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 64¢
- Fitzgerald, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
- Fitzgerald, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 23–35%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢
- Fitzgerald, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Fitzgerald, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 14¢
- Fitzgerald, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9.9¢
- Fitzgerald, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 5th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.