Selected outcome
Alfonso, 2+ pts
wide spread 84–96%
Alfonso, 2+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Alfonso, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 7th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–96%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.7¢
- Alfonso, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 7th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Alfonso, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 7th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 35–46%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 46¢
- Alfonso, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 7th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$74 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 32¢
- Alfonso, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 7th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.6¢ · Ask 21¢
- Alfonso, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 7th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 13¢
- Alfonso, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 7th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9.3¢
- Alfonso, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 7th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 7.3¢
- Alfonso, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 7th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$71 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 86¢
- Alfonso, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 7th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 7th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.