Selected outcome
Crowley, 4+ pts
52%
Crowley, 4+ pts · 52%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Crowley, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 5 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$37 24h · ~$560 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 49¢
- Crowley, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 4 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$34 24h · ~$6,992 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 56¢
- Crowley, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 7 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$3,084 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 29¢
- Crowley, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 6 percentage points?
38%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$292 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 43¢
- Crowley, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 1 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12k vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 73¢
- Crowley, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 10 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$685 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢
- Crowley, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 13 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$124 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 8.4¢
- Crowley, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 16 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 4¢
- Crowley, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 19 percentage points?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 3.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.